• Karakters_6_ontwikkeling

    Ontwikkelingen | 发展

  • Karakters3_uitwisseling

    Uitwisseling | 交流

  • Karakters_4_kennis

    Kennis | 知识

  • Karakters2_werelden verbinden

    Werelden verbinden | 国际接轨

  • Karakters_1_samenwerking

    Samenwerking | 合作

  • Karakters_5_samenwerking

    Samenwerking | 合作

As linear projections go, most economists believe the probability that China’s economy will be the world’s largest in the next two decades is all but certain.  One of the primary if often overlooked impediments that will govern how quickly China’s economy reaches this point is the country’s demographics.  Specifically, the speed China is aging, and the lack of scalable public or private sector solutions to address these concerns.  Poorly handled, China’s aging could easily become a drag on the nation’s economy as resources are diverted to pay for care and, in an often overlooked concern, labor force participation drops as people exit the workforce to take care of their elderly family members.  Properly handled, China’s elderly could become as attractive a market for senior care operators as hotel chains such as Marriott and Hilton have found China’s business traveler to be.

China uniquely benefited from its demographic dividend early as it opened to the west; now, the country is rapidly exiting its demographic dividend, which has created a set of problems it will have to face over the next several decades.  Estimates are that by 2040, China will have more patients with dementia than exist in the entire developed world.  By 2050, one-third of China’s population will be over 60, with a large majority suffering with cardiovascular disease, diabetes and cancer all made worse by the country’s maddening pollution.  Given the many problems that persist in China’s . . . . read more


jan booij
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